Six meetings run today, with Worcester jumping and Musselburgh and Yarmouth on easy ground. Our NAP is a course and distance winner in a big Musselburgh sprint, the next best is a Worcester chaser, and the each-way pick is a consistent handicapper at Yarmouth.
Monday's selections
| Bet | Race | Horse | Price | Stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAP | 3:17 Musselburgh | Invincible Crown | SP | 2 pts win |
| Next best | 1:37 Worcester | Onehundredneighty | SP | 1 pt win |
| Each-way pick | 4:24 Yarmouth | Methgal | SP | 0.5 pt e/w (3 places, 1/4) |
NAP: Invincible Crown (3:17 Musselburgh)
Watch On Racing TV Handicap, 5f 1y, Good to Soft, 14 runners
Invincible Crown has won over this course and distance before, which matters in a 14-runner five-furlong sprint where track knowledge counts for a lot. He runs off an official rating of 61 and carries 9-7, a fair weight in a class 6 handicap where several rivals sit within a few pounds of him.
He is a four-year-old with six wins from 37 career runs, and his form figures of 403116 show a horse that has been in the frame recently. He ran just seven days ago, so he comes here race-fit rather than needing the outing.
Main danger: The size of the field and a low draw or slow start could leave him with too much to do.
Next best: Onehundredneighty (1:37 Worcester)
Richard Davis Memorial Handicap Chase, 2m 4f, Good, 9 runners
Onehundredneighty has a course win to his name and comes here 17 days after his last run, a sensible gap for a chaser. Trained by B Pauling and ridden by Ben Jones, he runs off 92 and carries 11-8 on good ground.
His form figures of 235-421 show a horse that has been placed in most starts and has run into the places in his latest outings. With the top-weight Love Me ruled out as a non-runner, the race looks weaker than the declarations suggested, and several rivals have had long breaks since their last runs.
Main danger: Two of the runners have been seen more recently than most, so any rustiness in the others may be overstated.
Each-way pick: Methgal (4:24 Yarmouth)
First Furnishings Handicap, 6f 3y, Good to Soft (Good in places), 13 runners
Methgal's form figures of 212212 show a horse that has finished first or second in all six runs shown, with three wins and ten places from 24 career starts. He last ran 13 days ago, so he is fit and in a rhythm.
He races off 70 with 9-7, a mark that leaves him within a few pounds of the top of the weights in a 13-runner handicap. In a wide-open field that size, a reliably placed horse is a fair each-way proposition at a price.
Main danger: The card records three beaten-favourite runs for him, so he can be short of a win when well fancied.
Monday's meetings
| Course | Going | Races | First - last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Musselburgh | Good to Soft | 7 | 1:47 - 4:50 |
| Worcester | Good | 7 | 1:37 - 4:37 |
| Yarmouth | Good to Soft (Good in places) | 7 | 1:54 - 4:55 |
| Kempton | Standard / Slow | 9 | 4:12 - 8:15 |
| Newcastle | Standard | 9 | 4:28 - 8:30 |
| Roscommon | Soft (Yielding to Soft in places) | 8 | 1:30 - 5:07 |
We settle these tips at the starting price (SP). Stakes are in points: 2 on the NAP, 1 on the next best and 0.5 each way on the each-way pick.
FAQs
What is the NAP of the day for Monday 12 October?
Our NAP for Monday 12 October is Invincible Crown in the 15:17 at Musselburgh. He has won over the course and distance before and ran only seven days ago. Tips are settled at the starting price.
Which meetings are on today?
Today's racing is at Musselburgh, Worcester, Yarmouth, Kempton and Newcastle in Britain, plus Roscommon in Ireland. The first race is at 13:30 at Roscommon and the last at 20:30 at Newcastle.
18+ only. Tips are our opinion, not a promise: racing is unpredictable and losing runs happen. Stake only what you can afford to lose. Free, confidential help: BeGambleAware or GamCare on 0808 8020 133.